Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000597 0.000686 0.000780 0.000887 0.001006 0.001132 0.001278
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000447 0.000566 0.000702 0.000868 0.001064 0.001285 0.001554
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000376 0.000509 0.000668 0.000870 0.001118 0.001409 0.001773
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000326 0.000467 0.000645 0.000880 0.001177 0.001536 0.001998
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000274 0.000416 0.000603 0.000857 0.001190 0.001603 0.002147
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000231 0.000371 0.000562 0.000832 0.001194 0.001655 0.002276
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000203 0.000344 0.000541 0.000829 0.001226 0.001741 0.002447
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000180 0.000320 0.000523 0.000828 0.001257 0.001825 0.002617
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000294 0.000500 0.000817 0.001273 0.001889 0.002759
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000137 0.000269 0.000475 0.000800 0.001279 0.001936 0.002881
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000260 0.000473 0.000817 0.001334 0.002052 0.003096
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000250 0.000470 0.000831 0.001382 0.002160 0.003303
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000230 0.000447 0.000815 0.001388 0.002208 0.003430
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000210 0.000424 0.000796 0.001386 0.002247 0.003545
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000199 0.000415 0.000798 0.001417 0.002331 0.003726
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000190 0.000410 0.000807 0.001458 0.002432 0.003931
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000174 0.000388 0.000786 0.001451 0.002460 0.004032
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000158 0.000366 0.000762 0.001438 0.002477 0.004116
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000149 0.000356 0.000760 0.001459 0.002546 0.004278
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000140 0.000347 0.000758 0.001481 0.002618 0.004445
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000131 0.000334 0.000748 0.001487 0.002665 0.004575
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000120 0.000319 0.000732 0.001483 0.002695 0.004678
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000118 0.000321 0.000749 0.001535 0.002814 0.004922